Pipeline Forecasting

Advanced Scrum Master skill for data-driven agile team analysis and coaching. Use when the user asks about sprint planning, velocity tracking, retrospectives, standup facilitation, backlog grooming, story points, burndown charts, blocker resolution, or agile team health. Runs Python scripts to analyse sprint JSON exports from Jira or similar tools: velocity_analyzer.py for Monte Carlo sprint forecasting, sprint_health_scorer.py for multi-dimension health scoring, and retrospective_analyzer.py for action-item and theme tracking. Produces confidence-interval forecasts, health grade reports, and improvement-velocity trends for high-performing Scrum teams.

Model best-case, worst-case, and likely revenue scenarios with sensitivity analysis for strategic planning. Use when: building financial forecasts; presenting board scenarios; planning headcount around revenue uncertainty; modeling pricing changes impact; preparing investor updates with upside/downside ranges

Revenue leadership for B2B SaaS companies. Revenue forecasting, sales model design, pricing strategy, net revenue retention, and sales team scaling. Use when designing the revenue engine, setting quotas, modeling NRR, evaluating pricing, building board forecasts, or when user mentions CRO, chief revenue officer, revenue strategy, sales model, ARR growth, NRR, expansion revenue, churn, pricing strategy, or sales capacity.

/cs:cro-review <plan> — Pipeline-paranoid interrogation of revenue, win rate, NRR, and ramp time.

Design and execute insect population surveys covering survey design, sampling methods, field execution, specimen identification, diversity index calculation including Shannon-Wiener and Simpson indices, statistical analysis, and reporting. Covers defining survey objectives, selecting study sites, determining sampling intensity and replication, choosing sampling methods appropriate to target taxa, standardizing collection effort, recording environmental covariates, identifying specimens to the lowest practical taxonomic level, calculating species richness, Shannon-Wiener diversity (H'), Simpson diversity (1-D), evenness, rarefaction curves, multivariate ordination, and producing survey reports with species lists and conservation implications. Use when conducting baseline biodiversity assessments, monitoring insect populations over time, comparing insect communities across habitats or treatments, assessing environmental impact, or supporting conservation planning with quantitative ecological data.

Fit cognitive drift-diffusion models (Ratcliff DDM) to reaction time and accuracy data with parameter estimation (drift rate, boundary separation, non-decision time), model comparison, and parameter recovery validation. Use when modeling binary decision-making with reaction time data, estimating cognitive parameters from experimental data, comparing sequential sampling model variants, or decomposing speed-accuracy tradeoff effects into latent cognitive components.